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Red96
46138.8
548434.6
672118.4
Blue66
29232.8
172017.3
101819.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85750501001509666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#1
38.81.3
33.534.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 6.0
292
#17
32.80.2
32.232.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
34.61.3
28.129.5
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
red by 15.3
1018
#36
19.40.2
19.018.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Third
6721
#16
18.41.3
14.115.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.0
red by 1.1
1720
#33
17.30.2
17.817.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed