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Red56
174729.3
745427.6
174134.0
Blue92
394031.2
498226.9
427235.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93926070801001101205692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
34.01.8
30.628.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 1.5
35.50.5
34.535.1
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
Second
1747
#26
29.31.8
28.026.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
blue by 1.9
3940
#24
31.20.5
27.027.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
Third
7454
#20
27.61.8
24.422.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 0.7
4982
#21
26.90.5
22.723.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsEarned