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Red111
548434.6
394031.2
501032.8
Blue98
427235.5
540221.6
46138.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410770809010012013014015011198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.4
33.433.7
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
blue by 4.2
461
#1
38.80.2
39.038.8
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
5010
#19
32.80.4
31.531.9
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
blue by 2.7
35.50.2
35.735.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
Third
3940
#24
31.20.4
29.930.3
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
red by 9.6
5402
#34
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1