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Red109
46138.8
540221.6
427235.5
Blue128
745737.4
174729.3
150136.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102107708090120130140109128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#1
38.80.4
37.938.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 1.5
7457
#12
37.40.6
35.135.7
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
35.50.4
34.634.9
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
blue by 0.5
36.00.6
33.834.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Third
5402
#34
21.60.4
20.721.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
blue by 7.7
1747
#26
29.30.6
27.127.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4