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Red43
349419.9
765714.9
649815.6
Blue15
811610.2
843013.3
155513.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513101020406070804315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
15.215.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
red by 6.2
1555
#12
13.71.0
9.78.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End0.1
Second
6498
#24
15.60.1
14.214.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 2.3
8430
#20
13.39.9
17.37.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
7657
#13
14.90.1
14.214.1
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End1.2
red by 4.7
8116
#28
10.21.7
11.910.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed