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Red55
427235.1
811610.2
4479.8
Blue64
501030.5
94535.2
349419.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624901001505564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.1
29.429.3
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 4.6
30.51.5
20.021.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
8116
#28
10.20.2
11.711.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 9.6
19.91.5
16.618.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
Third
447
#29
9.80.2
13.513.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.1
red by 4.5
9453
#34
5.21.5
8.910.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed