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Red55
649815.6
29224.0
102424.3
Blue39
164619.1
87428.6
7112.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55432030506070805539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.4
19.119.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 5.2
1646
#11
19.10.1
19.319.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.5
Second
292
#8
24.00.7
17.318.0
Auto10.6
Teleop13.7
End-0.3
red by 11.7
71
#19
12.30.1
11.711.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
6498
#24
15.60.7
12.212.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 7.0
8742
#31
8.60.1
9.18.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed