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Red25
518813.9
761710.6
85649.8
Blue52
172012.3
810321.9
843013.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801001202552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#22
13.91.3
12.010.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 8.0
8103
#10
21.90.4
20.220.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
7617
#25
10.61.3
13.412.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 2.7
8430
#20
13.30.7
8.49.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
8564
#21
9.81.3
6.65.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.1
blue by 2.5
1720
#18
12.30.7
11.912.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed