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Red57
94918.8
101813.1
427235.1
Blue51
492615.7
649815.6
174125.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61542040801001205751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.2
30.831.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 9.8
25.30.6
22.922.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
1018
#16
13.10.3
13.814.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 2.6
4926
#27
15.71.0
12.911.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
9491
#32
8.80.3
9.710.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 6.8
6498
#24
15.61.0
13.812.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed