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Red42
71988.3
811610.2
810321.9
Blue58
314715.4
85649.8
102424.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42451020305060704258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8103
#10
21.90.2
20.720.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 2.3
24.31.0
20.521.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
8116
#28
10.20.4
11.511.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 5.2
3147
#15
15.41.0
14.615.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Third
7198
#23
8.30.2
6.26.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 1.5
8564
#21
9.81.7
5.37.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed