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Red95
745726.0
172012.3
427235.1
Blue33
94535.2
102424.3
518813.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704102060801009533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.12.0
27.029.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 10.8
24.30.5
18.017.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
26.03.3
19.522.9
Auto15.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
red by 12.1
5188
#22
13.90.8
13.412.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
1720
#18
12.33.3
13.516.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.2
red by 7.0
9453
#34
5.22.8
5.58.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed