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Red38
4479.8
492615.7
35596.4
Blue44
498216.1
458011.9
811610.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33360102040506070803844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#27
15.70.8
13.314.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 0.4
4982
#26
16.11.2
12.113.3
Auto8.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Second
447
#29
9.80.8
9.510.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 2.1
11.91.2
10.011.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Third
3559
#33
6.40.8
7.48.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 3.8
8116
#28
10.21.2
10.011.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed