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Red40
649815.6
314715.4
810321.9
Blue60
348718.7
174125.3
458011.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525430405060704060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8103
#10
21.90.6
21.420.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 3.3
25.30.5
22.923.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
6498
#24
15.61.1
14.213.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 3.0
18.70.9
14.215.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Third
3147
#15
15.40.6
13.913.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.4
red by 3.6
11.90.9
9.910.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed