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Red68
4479.8
810321.9
102424.3
Blue40
843013.3
492615.7
71988.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652902040801006840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
23.023.3
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 8.6
4926
#27
15.70.8
14.815.6
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Second
8103
#10
21.90.3
21.621.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 8.6
8430
#20
13.30.8
8.29.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
447
#29
9.80.3
9.69.9
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.1
red by 1.5
7198
#23
8.30.6
7.48.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed