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Red48
71988.3
348718.7
164619.1
Blue42
649815.6
811610.2
172012.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801004842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#11
19.10.3
17.918.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.5
red by 3.5
6498
#24
15.60.5
14.314.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Second
18.70.3
17.517.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.3
red by 6.4
1720
#18
12.30.5
11.612.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
7198
#23
8.30.3
8.08.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 1.9
8116
#28
10.20.5
9.810.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed