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Red73
501030.5
102424.3
761710.6
Blue63
765714.9
810321.9
518813.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7553204060801001207363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.2
30.330.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 8.6
8103
#10
21.90.3
22.022.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
24.30.2
24.124.3
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 9.4
7657
#13
14.90.3
15.015.2
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Third
7617
#25
10.60.2
10.510.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 3.3
5188
#22
13.90.3
13.914.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0