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Red79
843013.3
4522.3
427235.1
Blue35
765714.9
810321.9
518813.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001207935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.4
32.432.8
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 13.2
8103
#10
21.90.4
22.321.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
45
#14
22.30.4
19.619.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 7.3
7657
#13
14.90.4
15.314.9
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Third
8430
#20
13.30.4
10.611.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 0.6
5188
#22
13.90.4
14.313.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0