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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57732040801001201406179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.20.1
22.022.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
blue by 10.2
868
#4
32.50.3
32.032.3
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
3452
#14
18.70.1
18.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 5.7
234
#5
24.40.3
23.924.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Third
8564
#13
13.10.1
12.912.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 4.5
3947
#26
8.60.3
8.28.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3