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Red86
386511.0
317620.1
46123.8
Blue56
219717.3
82919.7
164618.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60612040801001208656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.80.3
23.623.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 4.1
829
#7
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Second
3176
#11
20.10.3
19.820.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 1.9
1646
#25
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
3865
#17
11.00.3
10.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 6.4
2197
#18
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1