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Red43
46123.8
695610.9
540219.5
Blue47
4519.8
102418.0
548416.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46512030406070804347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.80.1
17.317.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 4.1
45
#4
19.80.2
13.313.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
19.50.1
11.912.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 1.4
18.00.2
16.316.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
6956
#14
10.90.1
13.313.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 6.0
5484
#10
16.90.2
15.816.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed