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Red60
82919.7
4519.8
95545.2
Blue27
317620.1
219717.3
29092.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038253035455055606027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
19.82.1
11.914.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
blue by 0.3
3176
#11
20.10.9
17.316.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
829
#7
19.72.1
17.319.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 2.4
2197
#18
17.30.9
12.011.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
9554
#20
5.22.1
6.58.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
red by 2.4
2909
#27
2.80.9
5.44.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed