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Red48
219717.3
95304.2
286712.7
Blue5
90716.6
91194.5
94312.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36301020405060485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#18
17.30.1
11.111.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 10.8
9071
#26
6.62.5
11.38.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Second
2867
#13
12.70.1
11.811.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
red by 8.2
9119
#29
4.52.5
7.44.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Third
9530
#31
4.24.4
4.99.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
red by 2.1
9431
#32
2.12.8
9.56.6
Auto0.3
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed