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Red15
91194.5
29092.8
7111.9
Blue34
548416.9
286712.7
95545.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234704060801534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#22
11.90.9
12.912.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 5.0
5484
#10
16.90.6
15.214.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Second
9119
#29
4.51.0
6.65.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 8.2
2867
#13
12.70.6
17.116.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
2909
#27
2.80.9
4.33.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 2.4
9554
#20
5.20.7
7.77.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed