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Red49
219717.3
314713.9
386511.0
Blue71
150128.5
317620.1
74778.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305902040804971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#18
17.31.9
13.115.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 11.2
28.51.7
25.427.1
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
3147
#16
13.91.9
11.613.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
blue by 6.2
3176
#11
20.11.7
16.017.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
3865
#17
11.01.9
5.77.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
red by 2.1
7477
#19
8.91.7
8.410.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned