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Red73
540219.5
13517.8
394023.9
Blue55
672113.6
219717.3
46123.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61532040801007355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.7
21.923.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Level
461
#5
23.80.5
21.421.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
19.51.7
16.318.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 2.1
2197
#18
17.30.5
14.314.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
135
#12
17.81.7
16.117.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
red by 4.2
6721
#23
13.60.5
13.413.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed