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Red53
164618.1
3289.8
219717.3
Blue70
29092.8
695610.9
810321.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46371020305060705370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#25
18.10.9
15.616.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 3.2
21.40.0
20.720.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
2197
#18
17.30.9
14.815.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 6.5
6956
#14
10.90.0
12.112.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Third
328
#30
9.80.9
9.910.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 7.0
2909
#27
2.80.0
2.02.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned