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Red9
95304.2
386511.0
540219.5
Blue44
314713.9
13517.8
95545.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32401020305060944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.52.9
12.09.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 1.7
135
#12
17.80.1
14.914.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Second
3865
#17
11.02.9
9.06.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 2.9
3147
#16
13.90.1
13.813.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
9530
#31
4.22.9
9.36.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 1.0
9554
#20
5.20.1
6.66.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed