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Red47
810321.4
672113.6
102418.0
Blue53
427227.0
94312.1
150128.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586602040801001204753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
21.521.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 7.2
28.50.1
28.928.8
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
18.00.1
18.218.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 9.0
27.00.1
27.427.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Third
6721
#23
13.60.1
13.813.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 11.6
9431
#32
2.10.1
2.52.3
Auto0.3
Teleop1.3
End0.5