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Red68
101819.3
86828.3
394025.4
Blue61
672113.4
39476.9
174128.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57555060656861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#6
28.31.8
14.616.4
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
blue by 0.3
28.60.7
25.326.0
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Second
3940
#14
25.41.1
23.925.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 12.0
6721
#25
13.40.7
13.614.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End2.0
Third
1018
#16
19.31.1
13.114.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
red by 12.4
3947
#34
6.91.2
11.212.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed