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Red43
90713.5
672113.4
150133.9
Blue81
348721.7
695614.6
29231.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53622040801004381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.4
28.828.5
Auto15.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 2.1
292
#3
31.81.0
25.526.5
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
Second
6721
#25
13.40.4
14.914.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End2.0
blue by 8.3
21.71.0
18.419.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
Third
9071
#35
3.50.4
5.04.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 11.1
6956
#22
14.61.0
11.512.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed