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Red63
39476.9
501027.9
348721.7
Blue20
386511.5
95304.9
101819.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67300204060801001206320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#12
27.90.5
27.528.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 8.6
1018
#16
19.31.1
14.513.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Second
21.70.5
19.419.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
red by 10.2
3865
#20
11.51.1
10.59.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Third
3947
#34
6.90.8
8.99.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 2.0
9530
#24
4.91.1
6.25.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed