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Red56
46133.3
95304.9
348721.7
Blue51
695614.6
286719.4
498223.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58593040507080901005651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#2
33.30.2
27.527.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
red by 9.7
4982
#18
23.60.2
21.621.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
21.70.2
19.920.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
red by 2.3
19.40.2
18.518.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
9530
#24
4.90.2
5.25.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 9.7
6956
#22
14.60.2
13.113.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed