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Red76
761720.8
29231.8
501027.9
Blue27
45809.7
174719.8
39476.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874102060801001201407627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#3
31.80.2
27.828.0
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
red by 11.9
1747
#15
19.81.7
21.519.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Second
5010
#12
27.90.2
28.128.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 18.2
4580
#26
9.71.0
11.810.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
7617
#11
20.80.2
17.417.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 13.9
3947
#34
6.91.7
9.27.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed