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Red41
13519.1
23422.0
91197.6
Blue41
348721.7
44858.2
86828.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4955204060801004141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#10
22.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
868
#6
28.3
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Second
135
#21
19.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 2.6
21.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
Third
9119
#28
7.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4485
#31
8.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed