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Red68
747711.1
174719.8
46133.3
Blue81
29231.8
44713.3
82927.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66732040801001201406881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#2
33.30.5
29.630.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
red by 1.6
292
#3
31.81.1
28.029.1
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
Second
1747
#15
19.80.8
19.720.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 8.0
829
#7
27.91.1
25.326.4
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Third
7477
#23
11.10.5
10.911.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 2.3
447
#19
13.31.1
11.512.5
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned