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Red66
386511.5
348721.7
761720.8
Blue68
94316.6
23422.0
86828.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505430406070806668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.0
20.121.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
blue by 6.6
868
#6
28.31.5
22.624.1
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Second
7617
#11
20.81.0
16.317.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
blue by 1.2
234
#10
22.01.0
21.422.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
3865
#20
11.51.0
9.510.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 4.8
9431
#29
6.61.0
4.65.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed