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Red47
44858.2
44713.3
695614.6
Blue34
874213.1
672113.4
45809.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354002060804734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#22
14.60.3
13.313.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 1.3
6721
#25
13.40.1
15.315.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End2.0
Second
447
#19
13.30.3
12.512.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 0.2
8742
#27
13.10.1
10.510.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Third
4485
#31
8.20.5
6.87.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 1.5
4580
#26
9.70.1
10.210.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed