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Red55
38904.5
348721.7
349421.0
Blue52
29231.8
39476.9
32810.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48512030406070805552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
21.121.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
blue by 10.1
292
#3
31.80.1
29.129.1
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
Second
3494
#13
21.00.6
18.719.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End3.8
red by 10.4
328
#17
10.60.1
10.610.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
3890
#30
4.50.9
4.25.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 2.4
3947
#34
6.90.1
6.36.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed