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Red25
747711.1
39476.9
386511.5
Blue45
91197.6
40086.3
29231.8
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28530204060801002545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3865
#20
11.50.2
10.510.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 20.3
292
#3
31.80.0
29.129.2
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
Second
7477
#23
11.10.2
11.511.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 3.5
9119
#28
7.60.0
7.27.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Third
3947
#34
6.90.3
6.46.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 0.6
4008
#33
6.30.0
8.48.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed