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Red69
174128.6
386511.5
82927.9
Blue48
101819.3
761720.8
174719.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660501001506948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.2
27.927.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
red by 7.7
7617
#11
20.80.3
21.120.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
829
#7
27.90.2
27.327.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 8.0
1747
#15
19.80.3
20.119.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
3865
#20
11.50.2
10.910.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 7.8
1018
#16
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2