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Red85
39369.7
745737.7
46133.3
Blue103
101819.3
761720.8
174719.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9258020408010012014016085103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.1
37.337.4
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 16.9
7617
#11
20.80.3
19.820.1
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
461
#2
33.30.1
32.933.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
red by 13.5
1747
#15
19.80.3
18.819.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
3936
#32
9.70.1
9.39.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 9.6
1018
#16
19.30.3
18.318.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2