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Red80
174128.6
386511.5
82927.9
Blue69
348721.7
498223.6
23422.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72756080901008069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.3
27.728.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
red by 5.0
4982
#18
23.60.0
23.523.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
829
#7
27.90.3
27.127.4
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 5.9
234
#10
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
3865
#20
11.50.3
10.611.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 10.2
21.70.0
21.621.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6