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Red71
174719.8
761720.8
101819.3
Blue74
349421.0
13519.1
86828.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63712040801001207174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#11
20.80.2
20.120.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
blue by 7.4
868
#6
28.30.3
26.526.8
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Second
1747
#15
19.80.2
19.119.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 1.1
3494
#13
21.00.2
19.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Third
1018
#16
19.30.2
18.618.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
red by 0.2
135
#21
19.10.2
17.517.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5