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Red164
291050.4
18038.1
205653.1
Blue151
12543.9
276741.4
170649.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158145100120180200164151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.5
53.053.4
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End4.1
red by 3.5
49.60.4
48.949.3
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
50.40.5
50.250.7
Auto14.7
Teleop33.0
End2.7
red by 6.4
125
#2
43.90.4
43.243.6
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Third
180
#44
38.10.5
37.938.4
Auto15.9
Teleop20.0
End2.1
blue by 3.3
2767
#21
41.40.4
40.741.1
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8