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Red80
3343.2
246832.2
102329.2
Blue86
276741.4
341429.9
394025.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134122501001502008086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#28
43.22.6
45.442.8
Auto12.5
Teleop26.9
End3.8
red by 1.8
2767
#21
41.41.7
45.443.7
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
Second
2468
#42
32.22.6
40.137.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6
red by 2.3
3414
#37
29.91.7
35.033.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Third
1023
#50
29.22.6
34.031.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End3.2
red by 3.5
3940
#47
25.71.7
31.229.5
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
87%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned