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Red98
170649.6
23418.4
413022.4
Blue89
4524.7
940131.5
335737.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811060801001201409889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.3
48.347.9
Auto13.3
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 12.1
3357
#30
37.50.7
40.139.4
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
Second
4130
#40
22.40.3
25.725.4
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 9.1
9401
#46
31.50.7
35.634.9
Auto14.0
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Third
234
#54
18.40.3
24.123.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End0.8
blue by 6.3
45
#45
24.70.7
23.622.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsEarned