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Red83
18038.1
327638.3
496727.3
Blue147
198734.8
173232.3
590736.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122116608010014016018083147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#14
38.31.9
38.436.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 2.2
5907
#17
36.12.4
33.135.5
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
Second
180
#44
38.11.9
43.041.1
Auto15.9
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 3.3
1987
#33
34.82.4
34.637.1
Auto14.2
Teleop17.4
End3.2
Third
4967
#39
27.31.9
28.326.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 5.0
1732
#34
32.32.4
37.940.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned