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Red112
353830.0
126140.2
571242.8
Blue95
22626.4
174130.5
248144.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011040608010014016018011295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#10
42.80.3
40.841.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.8
blue by 2.1
44.90.4
42.442.0
Auto12.5
Teleop27.8
End4.5
Second
1261
#18
40.20.3
41.641.9
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 9.7
1741
#51
30.50.4
31.230.8
Auto9.3
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
3538
#31
30.00.3
25.425.7
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End4.1
red by 3.7
226
#29
26.40.4
27.226.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsEarned