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Red106
651725.7
50329.5
590736.1
Blue158
745745.7
460740.7
248144.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9713850150200106158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#17
36.10.9
35.536.4
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
blue by 9.5
45.72.5
41.043.5
Auto11.9
Teleop27.6
End6.2
Second
503
#22
29.50.9
32.233.1
Auto12.2
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 15.4
44.92.5
42.044.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.8
End4.5
Third
6517
#26
25.70.9
24.825.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End2.4
blue by 15.0
4607
#12
40.72.5
37.039.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned87%Ensemble oddsEarned