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Red103
608134.2
11833.3
496727.3
Blue87
394025.7
482821.1
335737.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100809011012010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.8
29.830.6
Auto14.8
Teleop15.6
End3.9
blue by 3.3
3357
#30
37.51.2
38.637.4
Auto8.4
Teleop25.1
End3.9
Second
118
#24
33.30.8
34.535.3
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.6
red by 7.5
3940
#47
25.71.2
29.728.5
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Third
4967
#39
27.30.8
26.827.6
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.0
red by 6.3
4828
#55
21.11.2
21.920.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
90%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed